By Gar Mouland

Demand Continues To Outpace Supply

The Newfoundland and Labrador’s housing market ended the year on a high note, defying national cooling trends

December saw strong sales activity, rising prices, and record-breaking dollar volumes.

Despite fewer homes available for sale, demand remained robust, continuing to outpace supply

Blue Vertical Bar Graph Showing The Number of homes sold

489 homes were sold through the MLS® System in December 2025, an 8.9% increase compared to December 2024.

This level of activity was also 5% above the five-year average and 26.8% above the ten-year average for the month.

White and Black Real Estate Sign for the Outlier NL Realty Brokerage featuring a red sold sticker

Steady Annual Sales Growth

St. John’s Leads The Way

St. John’s, the province’s capital and largest city, saw residential activity jump 20% compared to December 2024—a remarkable year-over-year gain. Single detached homes in St. John’s were particularly hot, with sales surging 21.1% from the previous year.

Price Trends Show Strong Growth

Average Price Continues To Increase

MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) Provides A More Accurate Picture

The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price for the province was $335,100 in December 2025, increasing by 10.1%, compared to December 2024.

The December provincial benchmark price for single-family homes was $338,100, a gain of 10.5% on a year-over-year basis. By comparison, the benchmark price for townhouse/row units was $311,200, up modestly by 2.4% compared to a year earlier, while the benchmark apartment price was $252,700, a minor decrease of 1.9% from year-ago levels.

The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price for homes in St. John’s was $395,100 in December 2025, up by 9.6% compared to December 2024.

The benchmark price for single-family homes in St. John’s was $413,300, an increase of 10.3% on a year-over-year basis in December. By comparison, the benchmark price for townhouse/row units was $305,300, a small gain of 3.3% compared to a year earlier, while the benchmark apartment price was $251,800, falling by 2.1% from year-ago levels.

Fewer Listings, Tighter Supply

While demand remained high, the number of new listings fell.

There were 290 new residential listings in December 2025, down 4.6% from the previous year

New listings were 1.5% below the five-year average and 10.7% below the 10-year average for December.

Substantial Decline in Active Listings

There were only 1,655 active residential listings on the market at the end of December, a substantial decline of 29.4% from the end of December 2024. Active listings haven’t been this low in the month of December in two decades.

Active listings are also 26.9% below the five-year average and 43.9% below the 10-year average for the month of December.

In keeping with the Law of Supply and Demand, when many buyers compete for very few properties, prices go up. This is exactly what we are seeing with the overall 10.1% jump in benchmark prices.

Months of Inventory Far Below Long-Term Average

The months of inventory metric,which tells us how long it would take to sell all available homes at the current sales pace, stood at just 3.4 months at year’s end. That’s down from 5.2 months in December 2024 and well below the long-term average of 8.7 months.

For example, the number of active listings at the end of December (1655) divided by the number of sales in December (489) = 3.38 (rounded to 3.4) months of inventory.

You will note from the Chart above that in December 2018 there were slightly more than 15 month of inventory or the market.

Definitely a buyer’s Market.

Generally speaking, anything under six months is considered a seller’s market, meaning sellers have the advantage in negotiations. At 3.4 months, Newfoundland and Labrador remains firmly in seller’s-market territory.

With so few homes available in December, competition among buyers intensified, resulting in multiple offers and increased selling prices.

What This Means Moving Forward

During 2025, sales increased, prices climbed, and inventory fell to levels not seen in decades.

Whether you’re looking for a place to live, considering an investment property, or simply keeping an eye on market trends, Newfoundland and Labrador’s real estate landscape offers plenty to watch for in the months ahead.

As we move into 2026, supply constraints will remain a key factor to watch.

With inventory at its lowest level in two decades, the province remains a seller’s market heading into 2026.  Unless new listings increase significantly, competition and upward pressure on prices will continue.

This upward momentum in property values will be felt particularly in St. John’s and surrounding areas, but it will also occur throughout the province.

For investors, understanding these trends and the role supply and demand play will be critical in making informed decisions in the months ahead.  The supply crunch, suggests that both rental demand and property appreciation will remain high.

By: Gar Mouland, CPA
Canadian Commercial Network (CCN)
Broker/Owner/Operator
Outlier NL Realty
(709) 728-2212
https://www.outliernlrealty.com/